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Real deck · named companyPublished 2026-09-09

Notion

This memo was written from the 2013 deck and the sources available then. Nothing that happened later was used.

Verdict

CONDITIONAL

Confidence · Mediumone piece of evidence could still move it

Thesis real, team and traction unverified

The deck names one founder and zero users against a five-layer platform roadmap; the co-founder and CTO the research confirms was present at this pitch is simply absent from the slides. First Round Capital's $2M seed check in the same month as this deck implies diligence the pitch itself does not surface, and that gap between what the check implies and what the deck shows is what the meeting exists to close.

StagePre-seed
SectorEnterprise Software / No-Code Platform
Market$305B

Why this stage

  • ·The deck is pitched to Elad Gil in March 2013 and describes a product in private beta (Design Tools) with a roadmap targeting public beta at month 12 and Series A at month 18.
  • ·The company is pre-revenue, pre-traction, and pre-product-market-fit, with only a private beta released to a limited audience.
  • ·This is a classic pre-seed position: the founder is validating the core insight (democratizing software) through an initial vertical (design tools) before expanding horizontally.
  • ·No funding amount or valuation is disclosed, which is typical for pre-seed conversations.

The one blocker

One named founder, zero team, zero users

Grades

4 axes
B+7/10Unicorn opportunity

The deck addresses a $120B+ enterprise software market with a platform model that, if the marketplace network effect works, concentrates value on a single winner; the ceiling is real but the path to it requires solving a cold-start problem the deck does not acknowledge.

What moves this grade

A credible plan for the marketplace cold-start and at least one qualitative signal from the design tools beta would move this to an 8.

the evidence
  • The market the deck names is genuinely large: Gartner's 2013 constant-dollar enterprise software forecast puts the broader category at $305B, and the deck's $120B+ figure is a credible subset.
  • The platform model is the right shape for a large outcome: if creators build on Notion and their software travels with the platform, the network effect between creators and end users is structurally winner-take-most in the way that Salesforce's AppExchange became self-reinforcing.
  • What holds this below an 8 is that the $14B software marketplace figure is circular by the deck's own framing, the design tools wedge at $500M is a beachhead not a destination, and the path from design tools to the full platform is asserted rather than argued.
B6/10Capital efficiency

A $2M seed check targeting an 18-month runway to Series A readiness is consistent with the category norm for a platform bet at this stage, though the budget is silent on team composition costs and the five-layer roadmap implies parallel engineering tracks that are not costed.

What moves this grade

A disclosed use-of-funds breakdown and a team composition that matches the roadmap would move this to a 7.

the evidence
  • The $2M seed from First Round Capital is the right roughly tenfold for a platform company targeting a Series A in 18 months.
  • The deck does not disclose a use-of-funds breakdown, team size, or burn rate, so the efficiency judgment rests on the round size against the milestone rather than on disclosed line items.
  • The design tools wedge is the right scope for a seed-stage capital plan: a $500M sub-market is small enough to dominate without requiring enterprise sales infrastructure.
  • What holds this at a 6 rather than a 7 is that five platform layers require parallel engineering tracks whose cost is not disclosed, and the marketplace revenue model adds payment processing and legal compliance costs the deck does not acknowledge.
B5/10Team velocity

Ivan Zhao's product design background at Inkling and cognitive science training at UBC are genuine founder-market fit for the problem, but the deck names no engineers and no co-founder, and Simon Last's CTO role, confirmed by research, is simply absent from the pitch.

What moves this grade

A team slide naming Last with his background and current build status would move this to a 7.

the evidence
  • The founder-market fit is real: cognitive science at UBC followed by product design at Inkling, a digital publishing startup, is directly relevant to making software creation accessible to non-technical users.
  • The problem is that the deck presents this as a solo founder pitch against a five-layer platform roadmap, which is not a credible execution profile.
  • Research confirms Simon Last as co-founder and CTO at the time of this pitch, described as a visual programmer recruited after Zhao saw his portfolio; his presence changes the team velocity read from a 3 to something closer to a 6.
  • The grade lands at 5 because the deck itself withholds the evidence that would justify a higher number, and the investor reading this pitch cannot verify Last's role or technical depth from the materials provided.
B5/10Moat durability

The marketplace network effect between creators and end users is structurally durable if it works, but at the time of this deck the moat is entirely thesis-driven: no creators, no end users, and no disclosed plan for bootstrapping either side.

What moves this grade

A working marketplace with even a handful of active creators and measurable end-user adoption would move this to a 7, because the network effect, once seeded, is genuinely hard to replicate.

the evidence
  • The claimed moat is the right shape: creator lock-in and network effects between creators and end users are the kind of advantage that compounds with scale and that Microsoft and Salesforce cannot easily replicate inside their legacy architectures.
  • The web-native foundation is a real technical differentiator relative to prior attempts at software commoditization.
  • What holds this at a 5 is that the moat is entirely unbuilt: the marketplace has no creators, no end users, and no disclosed cold-start plan, and the visual editor layer that would generate the first creator supply is in private beta with no disclosed users.
  • The composable block model is also technically unproven at this stage.

Flags

5 flags · 1 critical
01

No traction disclosed. Deck is pre-revenue, pre-customer, pre-user. Only private beta to Design Tools mentioned; no adoption metrics, user counts, or revenue figures provided.

02

Marketplace revenue model is unproven and complex. Deck claims Notion will track usage and distribute revenue to software creators, but provides no evidence this is technically feasible, legally compliant, or economically viable.

03

Horizontal platform ambition is extremely broad. Deck targets design tools, office/docs, enterprise SaaS, and a software marketplace simultaneously, with no clear go-to-market or prioritization.

+ 2 more in the full memo

Do next

Take the meeting; verify team composition immediately

Confirming Simon Last as co-founder and CTO, seeing any qualitative signal from the design tools beta, and hearing a credible plan for bootstrapping the creator side of the marketplace would turn this into a term sheet conversation.

The full memo

The complete read, with the market and diligence, is built for desktop. Open Verdict on a computer for the full analysis.