Issue 03 · July 25, 2026

A Series A priced on a product that didn't exist yet

Happy Friday! Eric here. Busy two weeks at Verdict. The memo you send investors got shorter, the fund matchmaker got its biggest upgrade yet, and I caught one of our own grades quietly inflating and shut it off. Quick run-through.

WHAT CHANGED

The investor memo got shorter

The memo you send investors lost about a quarter of its length this week. The verdict and the grades land first now, and the reasoning tucks away until you want it. Point is you can skim it in under two minutes and know where you stand.

  • Verdict and grades first, methodology folded by default
  • Grade reasoning breaks into bullets once it runs long, web and PDF
  • Return model and cap-table detail compacted

CAUGHT IN A DECK

A Series A priced on a product that didn't exist yet

A deck came in raising a Series A on a valuation that already assumed a product they hadn't built. The AI feature justifying the number was about two-thirds of the raise and wasn't running at any real scale yet. Verdict flagged it: the thing the valuation leans on is a plan, not a fact. Maybe they build it. But investors notice when the thing they're paying for is the thing that isn't there.

WHAT CHANGED

The fund matchmaker got a big upgrade

Biggest update to the matchmaker since it launched. It covers more funds now, weighted toward emerging markets, and it checks how recently a fund has actually been active so a quiet one doesn't show up as a strong match. I also moved it up front on the dashboard instead of leaving it buried at the bottom.

  • 26 emerging-market funds added and verified
  • A freshness check hides funds that have gone quiet
  • When a founder reports how a match went, that feeds the next one

AT VERDICT

I caught one of our own grades inflating, and shut it off

A change meant to stop the moat grade reading too harsh went too far and started nudging almost every memo up, even the ones that earned a low grade. I found it in an audit, gated it, and I'm building a test so it can't come back. Verdict's whole thing is an honest read. That has to include being honest about our own grades.

RUN YOUR DECK

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Eric

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